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Region 2 North - 6/17 Weather P3

Synoptics
 
High pressure centered off the mid-Atlantic ridging into the southeastern states . Weak flow around the high bringing in warmer, moister air than we've seen previously. 
 
Instability
 
Despite the synoptic picture, various models (GFS, NAM, HRR) develop a 5,000-6,000 foot boundary layer in our task area with 3-4kt lift.    There is some indication that a thicker cirrus shield may develop mid-afternoon to cut down heating. . 
 
Clouds
 
Dewpoints are forecast to be 6-8 degrees F higher than yesterday, so Cu should form at around 5,000 feet.       
 
Winds
 
Very light W winds early swinging to SW by later in the afternoon
 
P3

Posted: 6/17/2018


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