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Sports Class Nationals - Day 4 Weather

FORECAST DISCUSSION:

 

EARLY MORNING LOW STRATUS HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF
HOURS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH AT LEAST
14Z BEFORE SCATTERING OUT. CIGS ARE GENERALLY AROUND 1200 FEET
ALTHOUGH SOME IFR CIGS HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT A FEW SITES OVER THE
LAST HOUR. CIGS SHOULD IMPROVE MID MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. UPPER RIDGING
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH AFTERNOON. LIGHT
EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

 

AFTER SCATTERED MORNING CLOUD COVER BURNS OFF...GENERALLY SUNNY
SKIES AND INCREASING GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHTS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN
HIGH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 90S WEST TO LOWER 90S EAST WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. THIS WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH A STRAY SHOWER CANT BE RULED OUT DURING
THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING HOURS...THIS POTENTIAL IS TOO
LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST.

 

 

TRIGGER:

 

TEMP: 86 F TIME: 12:30 FORECAST HIGH: 95-97

 

 

LIFT:

 

STRENGTH: 350 FPM      HEIGHT: CLOUDBASE 4000 EARLY, 6000+ LATER

 

TAF:

 

KDFW 211224Z 2112/2218 15009KT 6SM BR BKN012
  FM211530 16007KT P6SM FEW050

 

COMMENTS: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 101. Southeast wind around 5 mph. DEW POINT SHOULD BE DROPPING THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE CLOUD LAYER LIFTS AND BREAKS UP.  FORECASTS SEEM TO AGREE ON CLOUD COVER RAPIDLY DROPPING THROUGH THE MORNING AND BROKEN UP BY 1 PM. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS.

 

WE SHOULD FINISH THE CONTEST OFF WITH A BANG WITH STRONG CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY. THE ONLY CHANCE OF RAIN IS A 20% CHANCE ON WEDENSDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING

Posted: 7/21/2014


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